EFFECT OF EXTERNAL DEBT ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT INFLOW IN KENYA

TERENCE MAKATIANI, CONSOLATA NGALA, PhD, ANGELA MUNGAI, PhD

Abstract


Foreign Direct Investment serves as a crucial connection between developing and industrial nations. Kenya is constrained with drawing and maintaining Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) at optimal rates which can unlock the full potential of associated capital inflows and harness the benefits of global integration and technology transfer. Despite the widely acknowledged significance of FDI, the country struggles to cultivate an environment conducive to optimal FDI inflow. This deficiency not only hampers domestic investment opportunities but also significantly impedes the realisation of robust economic growth. The study's main objective was to assess the impact of external debt on foreign direct investment in Kenya for the period 2002-2021. Descriptive, correlation and causal research designs were adopted using yearly time series data. The results revealed that tax incentives (t=4.811738, p<0.05) and government recurrent expenditure (t=2.402518, p<0.05) had a positive significant effect on FDI Inflow while government external debt (t=-3154145, p<0.05) had a negative effect on FDI inflow in Kenya. To enhance the inflow of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), the research suggested that policymakers should responsibly prioritize strategies to manage and reduce external debt burdens. 

Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment Inflow, External Debt

CITATION: Makatiani, T., Ngala, C., & Mungai, A. (2024). Effect of external debt on foreign direct investment inflow in Kenya. The strategic Journal of Business & Change Management, 11 (3), 757 – 765. Http://dx.doi.Org/10.61426/Sjbcm.v11i3.3046


Full Text:

PDF

References


Azolibe, C. B. (2022). External Debt accumulation and foreign direct investment inflows in Sub-Saharan Africa: Analysing the interaction effects of selected macroeconomic factors. The Review of Black Political Economy, 49(3), 327-352.

Didia, D., & Ayokunle, P. (2020). External debt, domestic debt and economic growth: The case of Nigeria. Advances in Economics and Business, 8(2), 85-94.

Emako, E., Nuru, S., & Menza, M. (2022). Determinants of foreign direct investments inflows into developing countries. Transnational Corporations Review, 1-14.

International Monetary Fund. (2019). World Economic Outlook: October 2019, Global Manufacturing Downturn, Rising Trade Barriers. International Monetary Fund.

Julie. (2018). Effect Of Public Debt On Foreign Direct Investment Inflows In Kenya. University of Nairobi.

Julie. (2018). Effect Of Public Debt On Foreign Direct Investment Inflows In Kenya. University of Nairobi.

Central Bank of Kenya retrieved from https://www.centralbank.go.ke/uploads/statistical_bulletin/2011086449_Statistical%20Bulletin%20December%202021.pdf

Kenya National Bureau of Statistics. (2022). Economic survey. Nairobi: KNBS.

Kenya Revenue Authority. (2021). Annual Report 2020. Nairobi: Kenya Revenue Authority.

Kiungah, D. N. (2018). Relationship between external government borrowing and foreign direct investment inflows in Kenya (Doctoral dissertation, University of Nairobi). International Journal of Business Management & Economic Research, 10(5).

Muinga, R. M. (2014). External public debt and economic growth in Kenya (Doctoral dissertation, University of Nairobi).Mutiso, J. (2020). Nexus between Inflation and Fiscal Deficit in Kenya.

Muinga, R. M. (2014). External public debt and economic growth in Kenya (Doctoral dissertation, University of Nairobi).Mutiso, J. (2020). Nexus between Inflation and Fiscal Deficit in Kenya.

NCTAD. (2020). World investment report international production beyond the pandemic. Geneva: UNCTAD.

Ngelechey, C. K. (2015). The relationship between public debt and foreign direct investments in Kenya.

Odhiambo, N. M. (2022). Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Kenya: An empirical investigation. International Journal of Public Administration, 45(8), 620-631.

OECD (Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development). (1996). Benchmark Definition of Foreign Direct Investment. Paris: 3rd Edition.

Omotor, D. (2021). External debt sustainability in West African countries. Review of Economics and Political Science, 6(2), 118-141.

Ostadi, H., & Ashja, S. (2014). The relationship between external debt and foreign direct investment in D8 member countries (1995-2011). WALIA journal, 30(3), 18-22.

Roza, A., Violita, E. S., & Aktivani, S. (2022). Study of inflation using stationary test with augmented Dickey-Fuller & Phillips-person unit root test (Case in Bukittinggi city inflation for 2014-2019). EKSAKTA: Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA, 23(02), 106-116.

Te Velde, D. W. (2019). Enhancing spillovers from foreign direct investment. Supporting Economic Transformation (SET).

UNCTAD. (2021). World Investment Report on Investing in Sustainable Recovery. Geneva: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (July 2022). world investment report 2022: international tax reforms and sustainable investment. New York: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.

Vann, Y. S. (2021). The macroeconomic impacts of technological innovation on employment, inflation and total factor productivity in emerging market and developing economies: A thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy at Lincoln University (Doctoral dissertation, Lincoln University).

Wabwalaba.V. (2017). The effect of public debt on foreign direct investment in Kenya. University of Nairobi.: Unpublished MSC Project.

World Bank Group. (2016). Kenya Economic Update, October 2016: Beyond Resilience--Increasing Productivity of Public Investments. World Bank.

World Bank. (2020). Doing Business 2021: Comparing Business Regulation in 190 Economies. Washington: World Bank Group.

Zeileis, A. (2004). Alternative boundaries for CUSUM tests. Statistical Papers 45, 123–131. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02778274




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.61426/sjbcm.v11i3.3046

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

PAST ISSUES:
20242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
Vol 11, No 3 [2024]Vol 10, No 4 [2023]Vol 9, No 4 [2022]Vol 8, No 4 [2021]Vol 7, No 4 [2020]Vol 6, No 4 [2019]Vol 5, No 4 [2018]Vol 4, No 4 [2017]Vol 3, No 4 [2016]Vol 2, No 2 [2015]Vol 1, No 2 [2014]
 Vol 11, No 2 [2024] Vol 10, No 3 [2023] Vol 9, No 3 [2022]Vol 8, No 3 [2021]Vol 7, No 3 [2020]Vol 6, No 3 [2019]Vol 5, No 3 [2019]Vol 4, No 3 [2017]Vol 3, No 3 [2016]Vol 2, No 1 [2015]Vol 1, No 1 [2014]
 Vol 11, No 1 [2024] Vol 10, No 2 [2023] Vol 9, No 2 [2022]Vol 8, No 2 [2021]Vol 7, No 2 [2020]Vol 6, No 2 [2019]Vol 5, No 2 [2018]Vol 4, No 2 [2017]Vol 3, No 2 [2016]  
  Vol 10, No 1 [2023] Vol 9, No 1 [2022]  Vol 8, No 1 [2021]Vol 7, No 1 [2020]Vol 6, No 1 [2019]Vol 5, No 1 [2018]Vol 4, No 1 [2017]Vol 3, No 1 [2016]   


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.